This video shows the river Kent today, as wild and as tumultuous as at any time since January. The river is on flood alert, just ten days after a hosepipe ban was announced for Cumbria. When the hosepipe ban came into force, it was explained that the long term forecast of the Met Office was for an exceptionally dry July and August. Since then it has rained remorselessly. We were also told, as we always are in relation to any weather event nowadays that the drought was a result of climate change- the sub-text being that it is all our fault. The Met Office have also told us to expect wetter winters and drier summers as a result of climate change. If they routinely get their short term forecasts hopelessly wrong and their medium term forecasts hopelessly wrong, how they they possibly expect anyone to have confidence in what they are predicting for the end of the century.